Economic Dashboard
Economic surfaces 25+ official macro series across five categories — rates, inflation, growth, consumer, liquidity — with a 9-point yield curve, recession dashboard, and a tier-gated AI economic outlook.
The Economic dashboard pulls live official macro data and renders the slice that actually drives markets: Fed Funds, the full UST curve, CPI / Core CPI / PCE, GDP, payrolls, claims, sentiment, housing, M2, DXY, S&P, and VIX. Click any card to expand the historical chart. The recession panel composites 2s10s, unemployment trend, claims trend, and VIX into a single regime read.
What it is
A macro indicator dashboard on a brutalist grid. The page loads roughly 30 official series at once, surfaces the latest observation and a sparkline per card, and unlocks expanded charts and AI summaries on Pro and Terminal. The yield curve, calendar strip, and recession indicator render above the grid as standing context. The "Economic Outlook" button at the top right runs an AI workflow that synthesizes the current indicator stack into a regime call.
When to use it
Before a Fed week — pull up the curve, FEDFUNDS, and the 10Y-2Y spread to set the rates context for whatever you're trading. CPI / PCE morning — load the inflation card stack and compare current vs. month-ago vs. year-ago. NFP Friday — check ICSA trend going in, then compare to PAYEMS surprise. Anytime you're sizing a swing in cyclicals — UNRATE, claims, retail sales, housing starts, consumer sentiment all in one view tells you which side of the cycle you're trading.
Open it
- Path:
/economic - Shortcut: none — accessible from the
§DATAgroup in the sidebar - Tier-gate: Free sees a curated 8-series subset (FEDFUNDS, CPIAUCSL, GDP, UNRATE, DGS10, DGS2, MORTGAGE30US, HOUST) with no expanded charts and no AI; Pro unlocks all 25+ series, expanded chart drill-downs, and AI Economic Explain (15/day); Terminal removes AI caps and adds the AI Economic Summary at the top of the page
How to use it
- Open
/economic. The yield curve renders first, then the upcoming release strip, then the recession indicator. The category grids load below. - Scan the recession panel — it composites four signals into red / yellow / green. Inverted 2s10s + rising claims + rising UNRATE + VIX > 25 is the four-alarm fire.
- Click any indicator card to expand the multi-year chart (Pro+). Click again to collapse.
- Use the inflation cards' three-month / one-year comparison numbers to spot directional momentum — current vs. month-ago vs. year-ago is rendered inline on the card.
- Hit
Economic Outlook(top right, Pro+) to fire the AI workflow. Output renders in a collapsibleWorkflowCardat the top of the page. - The AI Economic Summary (Terminal-only) auto-loads once data hydrates — pull-down explanations of why each indicator matters this cycle.
Fields
The grid is organized into five categories. Each card shows latest value, period-over-period change, and a sparkline.
| Category | Series shown |
|---|---|
| Interest Rates & Fed Policy | FEDFUNDS, DGS10, DGS2, DGS30, T10Y2Y, T10Y3M |
| Inflation | CPIAUCSL (Headline CPI), CPILFESL (Core CPI), PCEPI |
| Growth & Employment | GDPC1 (Real GDP), A191RL1Q225SBEA (GDP growth %), UNRATE, PAYEMS (NFP), ICSA (Initial Claims) |
| Consumer & Housing | UMCSENT (UMich Sentiment), RSAFS (Retail Sales), HOUST (Housing Starts), MORTGAGE30US, MORTGAGE15US, CSUSHPISA (Case-Shiller) |
| Market & Liquidity | M2SL (M2 Money Supply), DTWEXBGS (Trade-Weighted Dollar), SP500, VIXCLS |
Recession indicator inputs
| Input | Source | Read |
|---|---|---|
| 2s10s spread | T10Y2Y | Inverted (< 0) is the textbook recession signal — but it's a *leading* indicator that fires 6–18 months early |
| Unemployment trend | UNRATE MoM | Rising is the Sahm-rule precursor |
| Claims trend | ICSA WoW | Rising is the real-time labor stress tell |
| VIX level | VIXCLS | > 25 is regime change; > 35 is panic |
Direction coloring
Every indicator has a "what's good" direction. higher_good (GDP, NFP, retail sales) shows green on positive change; lower_good (UNRATE, claims, CPI, mortgage rates) shows green on negative change; neutral (Fed Funds, DGS rates, M2, DXY) uses the neutral accent. Read color, not raw sign.
Limits
- If the data source is briefly unavailable the page may not load fresh values; recently cached data stays visible in the meantime.
- Update cadence matches the official release schedule, not market hours. Daily series (FEDFUNDS, DGS rates, VIX, SP500, DXY) update once per day after the close. Monthly series (CPI, PCE, NFP, retail sales, housing starts) update on official release day. Quarterly (GDP) updates with the BEA schedule.
- The card sparklines use the most recent 10 observations from the underlying series — that's days, weeks, months, or quarters depending on the series cadence.
- Free tier shows 8 of the curated indicators. The remaining 17+ are visible but display upgrade gates instead of values.
- The AI Economic Summary (Terminal) caches per session — clicking refresh on the card forces a re-pull.
- The "Economic Outlook" workflow has its own rate limit (see
/manual/pricing); the gate is aWorkflowButtonso the limit error renders inline.
Troubleshooting
A card shows — for value. The latest observation is missing — common on the day a release is scheduled but not yet published. Wait for the release window to confirm.
Expanded chart is empty. Most likely you're on Free — the click is a no-op there. On Pro+, an empty chart means the series has no observations in the requested range; switch the range selector if the chart UI shows one.
Yield curve looks the wrong shape. The curve renders as-of the last observation for each maturity, which can mean some points are one trading day stale relative to others (1MO and 30Y don't always print at the same cadence). For an intraday-true read, cross-check with /bonds which has the same data but with explicit per-tenor freshness.
Recession panel says "expansion" but I see inverted curve. The composite weights four inputs; an inverted curve alone won't flip it. The panel is intentionally lagging-conservative — the curve inverts months before recessions print.