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May 8, 20268 min readTapeboard Staff

Stock Market This Week (May 4–8, 2026): Jobs Beat, Iran Ceasefire Power Sixth Straight Win

A blowout April jobs report (+115K vs. +65K consensus) and on-again, off-again U.S.–Iran ceasefire headlines powered the S&P 500 up 2.3% to a record 7,398.93 and the Nasdaq up 4.5% to 26,247.08 — both notching a sixth straight weekly gain, the longest streak since 2024 — with AMD's data-center blowout and Disney's +88% streaming-income surge leading single-stock action.

weekly-recapweeklystock-market-this-week

The Week at a Glance

The dominant theme this week was a re-acceleration of the AI rally on top of a hot April payrolls print, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite each notching a sixth consecutive weekly gain — their longest winning streak since 2024. The S&P 500 added 168.81 points, or +2.3%, to close at a record 7,398.93, lifting year-to-date performance to roughly +8.5%. The Nasdaq Composite tacked on 1,132.64 points, or +4.5%, to a record 26,247.08 (≈+19.8% YTD). The Dow Jones Industrial Average lagged, rising 106 points, or +0.21%, to 49,609.16 (≈+8.0% YTD), held back by the tech-heavy leadership and a sharp Thursday slide on Iran ceasefire-violation headlines. The Russell 2000 finished near 2,806, down approximately –0.6% on the week after a brutal –1.63% Friday session, but still up roughly +12.0% YTD.

Monday opened risk-off after the UAE intercepted Iranian missiles — the Dow shed 557 points (–1.13%) and WTI crude spiked to $107.35. The mood flipped on Tuesday and Wednesday: an Axios report that the U.S. and Iran were nearing a deal sent the S&P to back-to-back record closes (+0.81% and +1.46%) and dragged oil sharply lower. Thursday gave back ground after Iran accused the U.S. of striking Qeshm Port in violation of the ceasefire. Friday's +115K April payrolls beat — nearly double the +65K consensus — overrode the Middle East noise and pushed the Nasdaq up 1.71% to a fresh all-time high.

VIX, Yields & Commodities

The VIX opened the week near 18.2, spiked above 22 intraday Monday on the UAE missile interception, then compressed steadily as ceasefire and earnings catalysts accumulated, settling near 15.4 by Friday's close — the lowest print since early April. The 10-year Treasury yield ended the week at 4.38%, up roughly 3 basis points from the prior Friday, as the +115K payrolls print and 3.6% YoY wage growth pushed back against rate-cut bets. The 2-year yield finished near 3.90%, leaving the 2s10s spread at +48 bps. The Dollar Index (DXY) closed near 97.87, down modestly on the week as the Iran ceasefire narrative reduced the safe-haven bid. Front-month WTI crude (CL=F) whipsawed from $107.35 Monday on Strait of Hormuz disruption fears to roughly $95.46 by Friday — a net weekly move of approximately –3.1%. Gold (GC=F) climbed to about $4,725/oz, up roughly +2.3% on the week as real yields ticked higher but geopolitical demand stayed firm.

Weekly Sector Performance

Leadership came almost entirely from technology and AI-adjacent names — AMD's blowout data-center print and continued spending commentary from the prior week's hyperscaler reports drove XLK to a clear weekly leadership position. Communication Services (XLC) followed thanks to Disney's +7% Wednesday surge and broad streaming-segment strength. Energy (XLE) was the unambiguous laggard as crude rolled over on ceasefire optimism, and Real Estate (XLRE) trailed on the back-up in long-end Treasury yields.

Sector	ETF	Week %	YTD %
Technology	XLK	+4.0%	+13.9%
Communication Services	XLC	+2.6%	+10.9%
Consumer Discretionary	XLY	+2.4%	+7.9%
Industrials	XLI	+1.7%	+13.8%
Materials	XLB	+1.4%	+13.9%
Financials	XLF	+1.2%	–3.6%
Healthcare	XLV	+0.6%	–5.2%
Consumer Staples	XLP	+0.4%	+11.3%
Utilities	XLU	–0.2%	+4.5%
Real Estate	XLRE	–0.6%	+10.9%
Energy	XLE	–3.0%	+27.8%

*Sector weekly % moves are estimated based on intraday and daily flows; YTD figures incorporate the prior week's confirmed levels plus this week's estimated moves.*

Biggest Stock Movers This Week

AMD +16% after-hours Tuesday — data-center revenue surged 57%. AMD reported Q1 2026 revenue of $10.3 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $1.37, both ahead of consensus. Data Center segment revenue hit $5.8 billion (+57% YoY) on EPYC server CPU strength and continued Instinct GPU shipments. Management guided Q2 revenue to approximately $11.2 billion (+46% YoY) and pushed AMD's market cap above $700 billion. The company also generated record quarterly free cash flow of $2.6 billion — more than triple the prior-year figure.

DIS +7% Wednesday — streaming finally cleared the 10% margin bar. Disney's fiscal Q2 2026 revenue rose 7% to $25.17 billion and adjusted EPS came in at $1.57 (+8% YoY), beating $24.85B/$1.50 estimates. The standout: Disney+ and Hulu revenue rose 13% to $5.49B and operating income jumped 88% to $582 million, pushing entertainment streaming margin to 10.6% for the first time. Management raised the full-year buyback target to $8 billion (from $7B) and guided FY26 adjusted EPS growth to roughly +12%.

PLTR –5.2% Tuesday despite a beat-and-raise — valuation bites. Palantir reported Q1 revenue of $1.63 billion (+85% YoY — its fastest growth since IPO), adjusted EPS of $0.33 (vs. $0.28 expected), and U.S. revenue +104% YoY. The company raised FY26 revenue guidance to $7.65–7.66 billion (vs. $7.27B consensus) and lifted free cash flow guidance to $4.2–4.4 billion. Shares fell anyway as traders judged the magnitude of the raise insufficient against the stock's roughly 100x forward sales multiple coming in.

SAVE — Spirit Airlines liquidated; equity wiped to zero. Spirit ceased operations on May 2 after a proposed $500 million federal rescue package — which would have given the U.S. government a 90% equity stake — was rejected by creditors led by Citadel and Ares. Roughly 17,000 employees lost their jobs. Spirit's fuel costs had grown by approximately $100 million in March and April alone after Iran-related crude spikes. The carrier filed a $217 million wind-down budget extending through February 2028; common shareholders are expected to recover nothing.

CSCO +3.3% on the week — AI data-center demand spillover. Cisco led the Dow on the week, benefiting from continued AI infrastructure tailwinds confirmed in AMD's print and ahead of its own May 13 earnings release. The Street is modeling EPS of $1.04 on revenue of $15.58 billion (+10.1% YoY).

NVDA — caught the AMD halo, but Burry shorts. Nvidia rallied roughly +5% on the week alongside AMD's data-center surge and broader semiconductor strength. Late-week newsflow that Michael Burry's Scion Asset Management disclosed fresh bearish semiconductor positions ahead of "potential market correction" did little to dent the tape, though it reignited stretched-valuation debates.

AAPL +2% on the week — buyback bid plus AI-cycle inclusion. Apple shares extended last week's earnings rally on continued positive flow following the $100B incremental buyback authorization and dividend hike, with traders re-rating the name into the broader AI infrastructure cohort.

Macro & Policy

April Nonfarm Payrolls (released Friday): The U.S. economy added +115,000 jobs in April, well above the +65,000 consensus and well below the unusually strong +185,000 print in March (revised from +178K). The unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.3%. Job gains concentrated in healthcare (+37K), transportation and warehousing (+30K), and retail trade (+22K), while federal government employment fell again (–9K) and information (–13K) and manufacturing (–2K) shed jobs. Average hourly earnings rose 6 cents (+0.2% MoM) to $37.41, with wage growth at +3.6% YoY. February payrolls were revised down by 23K (to –156K), leaving Feb–March combined 16K lower than initially reported — the "low-hire, low-fire" labor market remains intact.

ISM Services PMI (April, released Tuesday): The headline index slipped to 53.6 (consensus 53.7) from 54.0 in March, marking the index's 11th consecutive month of services expansion. The Business Activity sub-index jumped to 55.9 from 53.9, but New Orders fell hard to 53.5 from 60.6 and the Prices Paid component held elevated at 70.7. Combined with last week's manufacturing Prices Paid surge to 84.6, the inflation impulse on the services side remains sticky.

The Treasury curve ended the week with the 10-year at 4.38% and the 2-year at ~3.90% (+48 bps spread), with the bear-flattener that followed Friday's payrolls largely confined to the front end. Geopolitically, the U.S.–Iran ceasefire whipsawed all week: UAE missile interception Monday → Axios "near-deal" report Tuesday/Wednesday → Iran allegation of U.S. strikes on Qeshm Port and a destroyer exchange in the Strait of Hormuz Thursday → Friday relative calm. Trump publicly insisted the ceasefire remained "in effect."

Earnings Season Snapshot

With approximately 80% of S&P 500 companies now having reported Q1 2026 results, the season remains historically strong. Per FactSet's running tally, 84% of reporters have beaten EPS estimates — well above the 5-year average of 78% and the 10-year average of 76% — and would mark the highest beat rate since Q2 2021 if it holds. 81% have beaten revenue estimates versus a 5-year average of 70%. Aggregate earnings are coming in 20.7% above consensus, almost triple the typical 7.3% surprise magnitude. Blended Q1 earnings growth now stands near +27.8% YoY, the strongest quarter since Q4 2021. Sector-wise, leadership is broad: technology, communication services, financials, and consumer discretionary are all running double-digit beat-rate margins.

What to Watch Next Week

April CPI (Tuesday May 12, 8:30 ET): Consensus expects +0.4% MoM and +3.4% YoY (vs. +3.5% in March). Any upside surprise — particularly on services and shelter — combined with Friday's hot payrolls would entrench "higher-for-longer" pricing.
April PPI (Wednesday May 13, 8:30 ET): With ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid at 84.6% and ISM Services Prices Paid at 70.7%, headline PPI risk skews to the upside, with implications for next month's PCE.
April Retail Sales (Thursday May 15): First read on whether tariff-driven sticker shock has begun to bite consumer demand.
Earnings: CSCO (Wed May 13, after close) is the big AI-infrastructure tell; WMT (Thu May 14, before open) — consensus $0.52 EPS / $159.4B revenue — anchors the consumer-spending readout. BABA, Tencent, and JD also report.
Treasury Auctions: A heavy refunding cycle with 3-year, 10-year, and 30-year auctions; demand at the 10-year above 4.38% will be closely scrutinized given the bear-flattener.
Fed Speakers: A full slate of regional presidents post-payrolls — watch Waller, Daly, and Kashkari for any tonal shift after the +115K beat and 3.6% wage print.

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